Tight Monetary Policy Has Led To Market Liquidity Being Squeezed.

< p > Central Bank "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp "> monetary policy < /a > tight coupled with the increase of capital demand of products such as goods sold on the basis of electricity providers, bringing the pressure of capital reduction on the market.

The financial research center of Fudan Development Research Institute released the findings of the sixth phase CEP.

This Fudan -ZEW economic prosperity index shows that China's current economic climate index is lower than that of the US economy, but it obviously surpasses the European economic climate index.

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Professor Sun Lijian, director of the financial research center of Fudan Development Research Institute, said: "in January, the experts' judgement of China's economic situation was slightly more optimistic than that of 12 last year. However, combined with the previous results, macroeconomic changes remain uncertain." P

Under this influence, the anticipation of foreign investment and export also fluctuates.

Although the January a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > foreign investment < /a > and export expectations were warmer than those of last month, we still can not rule out the result of arbitrage arbitrage. This also makes our foreign exchange reserves rise further and maintain a more vigilant attitude.

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< p > the current CEP analysis shows that the expected growth rate in 2014 is 7.64%.

Experts predict that the SHIBOR of the 3 month period is expected to be 5.54% in the short term, 0.2 percentage points higher than that in December 2013, and the SHIBOR interest rate for 3 months after 1 years is expected to be 5.49%, which is also higher than that expected in December last year.

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< p > professor Sun Lijian thinks: "the central bank's monetary policy is tight and the < a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp > "electricity supplier < /a >" the development of money market funds based financial products makes the market demand for capital increase, resulting in the interbank market interest rate floating pressure.

At the same time, the size reduction effect of the US central bank also brings the pressure of market capital reduction.

On the other hand, in the case of weak demand for commercial credit, the 1 year lending rate is declining, while the 1 year deposit rate remains unchanged.

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< p > experts are optimistic about the growth of domestic consumption.

Domestic consumption is influenced by the holiday effect, the prosperity of the electricity business and the stimulation of domestic demand policy, so that experts predict the future trend of domestic consumption change.

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< p > in the next 1 years, 65% of the experts believe that China's exports will increase or increase slightly. Compared with last December figures, the experts' expectations for export growth have slightly weakened, but the trend of export increase has not changed.

The results of this survey show that there is a pullback in the rise in house prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, while the expected price increases in Tianjin and Chongqing continue to weaken under the influence of macroeconomic regulation.

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